UZBEKISTAN YOUTH BIRTH RATE FORECAST (BASED ON SOCIOLOGICAL SURVEY)

Abstract

The presented article is devoted to the analysis of the demographic situation and the forecast of the rate of increase in the population in the Republic of Uzbekistan. Highlighted modern trends and criteria for the development of demographic processes in the Republic of Uzbekistan. On the basis of a sociological survey among the youth of Uzbekistan, the presumptive upcoming dynamics of the birth rate and the potential importance of the family in the system of value orientations of the youth of Uzbekistan were revealed. Provided forecast estimates of the prospects for increasing the birth rate in the next decade. It is noted that the reproduction of the population requires the state to conduct a well-thought-out demographic policy to exercise birth control. This, in turn, requires calculating the optimal number of populationfor each country. The calculation itself directly depends on the indicators of the size of the general administrative-territorial significance, the quantitative coefficient of the source and reserve of resources and the level of infrastructure. The implementation of the demographic policy of birth control in Uzbekistan will allow finding the optimal balance between the growth of the birth rate and the growth rate of production.